mercredi 21 juillet 2010

L'éveil de l'agence de notation chinoise

Et ben, ça c'est des échecs   

Suite à la réforme financière US, les agences de notation occidentales demandent qu'on arrête d'utiliser leurs notes pour qu'on ne puisse pas les poursuivre :

Did The Credit Agencies Just Go Extinct?
ZeroHedge, 20/07/2010 (traduire en Français texte en anglais )
http://www.zerohedge.com/article/did-credit-agencies-just-go-extinct
The recently passed Donk (Dodd-Frank) Finreg abomination, which nobody has yet read is finally starting to disclose some of the interesting side effects of its harried passage. Such as that the rating agencies may have suddenly become extinct. As the WSJ's Anusha Shrivastava discloses: "The nation's three dominant credit-ratings providers have made an urgent new request of their clients: Please don't use our credit ratings." The Moodies of the world suddenly have good reason to not want their name appearing next to those three A letters (at least in Goldman CDO and bankrupt sovereign cases) out there: "The new law will make ratings firms liable for the quality of their ratings decisions, effective immediately."

De l'autre côté, les chinois sortent du bois. Notre banquier se réveille. Et visiblement il en a marre d'alonger rubis sur l'ongle pour couvrir un peu plus chaque mois notre découvert de gosses pourris gâtés :

China Proves The Best Time To Kick A Rating Agency Corpse Is Right Before It Stinks Up The Place
Dow Jones via ZeroHedge, 21/07/2010 (traduire en Français texte en anglais )
http://www.zerohedge.com/article/china-proves-best-time-kick-rating-agency-corpse-right-it-stinks-place
Guan Jianzhong, head of China's biggest credit rating agency, blames his Western counterparts for the global financial crisis and says China, as the world's leading creditor nation, should have a greater say in how sovereign debt is rated, the Financial Times reports Wednesday.

Rating agencies such as Moody's Investors Service, Standard & Poor's and Fitch "are politicized and highly ideological and they do not adhere to objective standards," Guan, who is chairman of Dagong Global Credit Rating, said in an interview on the U.K. newspaper's website.

He also argued that the three big Western agencies are too close to the corporate clients they are supposed to be assessing objectively. Echoing a complaint from regulators in several Western countries, Guan singled out the practice of "rating shopping" by companies who offer their business to the agency that provides the most favorable rating.

Guan said his privately held, 16-year-old company's methodology reflects a more objective view of a government's fiscal strength and stability. Last week, Dagong published its own sovereign credit ranking in what it called a first for a non-Western rating agency. The results differ greatly from those issued by Moody's, S&P and Fitch: China ranked higher than the U.S., the U.K., Japan, France and most other major economies.

Et dire que nos guignolos européens voulaient créer la leur d'agence   

Sauf que ceux qui notent, ce sont ceux qui prêtent. On a jamais vu un surendetté évaluer lui même son risque de crédit...

   EDIT du 24/07/2010 : J'avais raté ça également :

The US is insolvent and faces bankruptcy as a pure debtor nation but the rating agencies still give it high rankings ,” Mr Guan said. “Actually, the huge military expenditure of the US is not created by themselves but comes from borrowed money, which is not sustainable.

A wildly enthusiastic editorial published by Xinhua , China’s official state newswire, lauded Dagong’s report as a significant step toward breaking the monopoly of western rating agencies of which it said China has long been a “victim”.

La banque nationale suisse reconnaît avoir perdu 10 milliards d'€ en essayant d'empêcher le France suisse de grimper

Swiss National Bank Confirms Massive FX Intervention Losses, As Spike In M3 Reported
Financial Times via ZeroHedge, 21/07/2010 (traduire en Français texte en anglais )
http://www.zerohedge.com/article/swiss-national-bank-confirms-massive-fx-intervention-losses-spike-m3-reported
As the FT reports: "The Swiss National Bank on Wednesday revealed the cost of its massive foreign exchange interventions to restrain the value of the franc, with losses of more than SFr14bn ($13.3bn, €10.4bn) in the first half of this year." Following such a massive losses for the small country (nearly 2% of GDP) it was only a matter of time before the other 26 Swiss cantons, which share in the profits and losses of the SNB, said enough.

Et la base monétaire suisse explose :


En tous cas, le franc suisse a arrêté de s'apprécier contre l'euro :

Images de la marée noire à Dalian en Chine

A noter tout de même que les quantités sont sans commune mesure avec celles de BP.

Oil spill in Dalian, China
The Big Picture, 21/07/2010 (traduire en Français texte en anglais )
http://www.boston.com/bigpicture/2010/07/oil_spill_in_dalian_china.html
Five days ago, in the northeastern port city of Dalian, China, two oil pipelines exploded, sending flames hundreds of feet into the air and burning for over 15 hours, destroying several structures - the cause of the explosion is under investigation. The damaged pipes released thousands of gallons of oil, which flowed into the nearby harbor and the Yellow Sea. The total amount of oil spilled is still not clear, though China Central Television earlier reported an estimate of 1,500 (400,000 gallons), as compared to the estimated 94 - 184 million gallons in the BP oil spill off the Louisiana coast. The oil slick has now grown to at least 430 square kilometers (165 sq mi), forcing beaches and port facilities to close while government workers and local fishermen work to contain and clean up the spill.



Et rapidement aussi, cette vidéo des USA, où les poissons sont ramassés morts sur les plages, empoisonnés par millions...

Fish kill covers shore in Gulfport near Jones Park
WLOX, 19/07/2010 (traduire en Français texte en anglais )
http://www.wlox.com/Global/story.asp?S=12832436

Poursuites contre Goldline

Ça devait finir par arriver. Goldline, des vendeurs de pièces d'or aux USA, qui travaillent avec la pub de Glenn Beck de Fox News qui leur sert de rabatteur, sont poursuivis en justice.

Visiblement, ils auraient vendu des pièces avec des primes délirantes aux pigeons qui ont acheté chez eux   

Je sens que dans cette course à l'or, les palourdes vont encore être délestés de leur argent...

Rep. Weiner featured in ABC News Investigation of Goldline - Nightline
nightline, abc News, 20/07/2010 (en Anglais texte en anglais )


Et soyez sûrs que la propagande en fera des tonnes autour de cette histoire pour ramener les brebis égarées auprès des gentils vendeurs de papiers gras